There is a good deal of cash to be won this week DraftKings including a top prize of $30k in the main tournament. DK also has a lot of Qualifier competitions on this week, where the last event will pay $50k to 1st if you did qualify to perform inside. I will be chasing those as well because we’ve not ever had a $50k 1st place prize and I want it. I really do think we have a fun card that Saturday and that I am ready to go into this 3-week break using a winning night in UFC 227. Here are a few plays I like this weekend together with my fade of the week.
Money Game play of this week — Demetrious Johnson ($9,400)
Demetrious Johnson is the safest play in most DFS MMA and he’s the highest ceiling too. DJ is the P4P best fight in the world (not counting Jon Jones) and he’s already beat Cejudo once before. This is the first person I’m plugging in my cash LU this week and I advise you to do exactly the same. DJ is almost sure to score at least 100-points in a triumph, and he has a -550 betting line saying he should find the win again here. Play it safe and use DJ in cash. It’s possible to stack this battle as well, however I think DJ is essential.
GPP drama of the week — Thiago Santos ($9,200)
This is a good fight to goal this week because it most likely won’t visit a choice. Holland just fought on the Contender Series a couple weeks back and didn’t receive a contract. But today he’s about the PPV against one of the scariest strikers from the division. The ITD line for Santos is currently -210 and the under 1.5 rounds betting line is -160. That tells me Vegas believes this battle ends early and Santos is the guy that should pick up the finish. At $9.2k, he readily pays that price tag off in a 1st round win and I think he’s a good shot at doing exactly that. I really don’t care for him in money game formats though because both guys have quite low flooring, so this is a GPP only play for me personally.
Underdog drama of this week — Brett Johns ($7,400)
I believe everybody is writing off Brett Johns following his loss to Aljo Sterling and that is exactly why he is so economical on DraftKings this weekend. With the wrestling style Johns brings to the table, he has 100+ upside even in a decision win. Of course, we’re worried about him becoming caught in a guillotine when he shoots for takedowns, but when he can avoid I think he can win this fight and 10x his wages with a win. I really don’t think Johns will want to hit with Munhoz to get 15-minutes so I really do believe he will be shooting for takedowns. Those takedowns can get him filed, or else they may get him a triumph over the scorecards. However, this makes him a boom or bust play and that is why he is a solid underdog to pick in GPPs this past week.
Fade of this week — Danielle Taylor ($7,500)
Even in a cheap $7.5k on DraftKings, Taylor will still require a finish to pay that price tag off with her fashion. She has the worst fashion possible for scoring DraftKings point and even if she gets a win here she could end up scoring less than several losers on the card. Taylor will be the least possessed fighter in GPPs this week, so if you want to invest your cash on a 115 lb lady with a”punchers chance” of winning you a GPP, then you will be very contrarian taking that route. However, I don’t have any interest in investing my money into that so I will have Taylor in 0 of my lineups this week. If I had been making 150 lineups, I would still full vanish Taylor here.
Thanks for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
http://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
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