Basketball and gambling have more in common than you may think. In order to be successful at pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the case of basketball, having a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out each game irrespective of the matchup provides you a leg-up. Think Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll crime in the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to gambling, you can acquire the exact same sort of advantage by having a tightly defined set of rules which it is possible to use to every single game irrespective of who’s on the court.
Luckily, you don’t have to produce your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already a few recognized strategies which you can try on for size once you put down wagers on your favorite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering in the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We have included some of the most reliable systems and money-management approaches below, together with insights about the best way to use them. When coupled with an understanding of the game, these systems can help turn even rookie betters into all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few strategies are easier to understand and apply in relation to the High Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game levels for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games with an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a very simple approach, but it paid off as he was correct 63.5% of the time for all games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games have been rarities a decade ago, but they’re getting more common now as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each game. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and rose all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy for this trend, but there’s still worth to be seen by taking the above in matches with especially high total-point projections.
Read more: bostonsportspulse.com